- Deep Dive Fantasy
- Posts
- š Biggest ADP Surprises of 2024
š Biggest ADP Surprises of 2024
NFL News & Such
We made it, everyone! Hopefully, your fantasy football seasons turned out as planned and if not thereās always next season. šš½ This newsletter will be sent once a week for now until we get to something juicy like free agency.
Hereās the finalized 2025 Playoff Bracket in a neat graphic courtesy of Yahoo Sports.
Two AFC games are on Saturday, with the Chargers @ Texans kicking things off at 4:30 PM ET and the Steelers @ Ravens at 8:00 PM ET.
There are three contests on Sunday starting with Denver @ Buffalo at 1:00 PM ET, followed by Green Bay @ Philadelphia at 4:30 PM ET. The Sunday night game is Washington @ Tampa Bay, kicking off at 8:00 PM ET.
The final Wild Card round contest is on MNF, with the Vikings in LA to battle the Rams at 8:00 PM ET.
The front office and coaching carousel has begun its usual rotation following the end of the regular season. Here is where the openings stand so far:
The current NFL openings:
HC:
šRaiders
šJets
šJaguars
šBears
šSaints
šPatriotsGM:
šJets
šTitansā Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter)
8:42 PM ā¢ Jan 7, 2025
If you missed this a few days ago, Tyreek Hill says heās out of Miami but according to the South Florida Sun Sentinel, he hasnāt requested a trade, and Dolphins GM wants to rebuild the relationship. Stay tuned.
āIām out bro.ā
Tyreek Hill on his future with Dolphins š³
(via @OmarKelly, @MiamiHerald)
ā Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport)
1:53 AM ā¢ Jan 6, 2025
Got Season Tickets? Let Them Make You Money!
Season tickets are the best, right? Front-row seats, exclusive access, and the ultimate fan experience. But let's be realālife happens, and you canāt make it to every game. Why let those tickets go to waste when you could be making extra cash? With Lysted, you can effortlessly sell your unused tickets on all the top platforms like StubHub, Ticketmaster, and SeatGeek. It's fast, easy, and puts money in your pocket without any hassle.
So what did we do right and wrong this season? This week Iāll go through some of the biggest productive surprises at each position compared to their ADP back in August, and then in next weekās newsletter, Iāll address the disappointments.
All scoring (besides QB) is half-PPR points per game. ADP is based on half-PPR drafts and is courtesy of Fantasy Pros.
Quarterback
Player | FP/G | QB Finish | 2024 ADP | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Baker Mayfield | 21.5 | QB4 | QB21 | -17 |
Bo Nix | 18.6 | QB8 | QB23 | -15 |
Sam Darnold | 18.1 | QB9 | QB31 | -22 |
Russell Wilson | 15.7 | QB15 | QB26 | -12 |
Geno Smith | 15.6 | QB16 | QB24 | -8 |
With all the focus on Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels, rookie Bo Nix got little respect as the 23rd QB drafted. Once again Baker Mayfield is on this list after being here in 2023 and we also saw Sam Darnold come alive (with the exception of Week 18).
Running Back
Player | FP/G | RB Finish | 2024 ADP | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Chuba Hubbard | 14.7 | RB12 | RB48 | -36 |
Chase Brown | 14.3 | RB16 | RB35 | -19 |
JK Dobbins | 13.5 | RB17 | RB47 | -30 |
Bucky Irving | 13.0 | RB19 | RB51 | -32 |
Rico Dowdle | 11.1 | RB24 | RB44 | -20 |
Kareem Hunt | 11.1 | RB25 | N/A | N/A |
Jonathon Brooks scared most off of Chuba Hubbard this season and both Chase Brown and Rico Dowdle outperformed what was perceived as a lower-tier backfield heading into 2024. I had to include a sixth (Hunt) since he was totally off the fantasy radar in August.
Wide Receiver
Player | FP/G | WR Finish | 2024 ADP | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tee Higgins | 15.5 | WR4 | WR27 | -23 |
Brian Thomas Jr. | 14.1 | WR12 | WR43 | -31 |
Ladd McConkey | 12.5 | WR17 | WR47 | -30 |
Jameson Williams | 12.2 | WR18 | WR48 | -30 |
Jordan Addison | 12.1 | WR19 | WR44 | -25 |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 11.9 | WR20 | WR42 | -22 |
Courtland Sutton | 11.8 | WR22 | WR45 | -23 |
Jakobi Meyers | 11.6 | WR24 | WR59 | -35 |
Adam Thielen | 11.6 | WR25 | WR53 | -28 |
Jerry Jeudy | 11.5 | WR26 | WR64 | -38 |
This list was longer than expected but I just couldn't leave off anyone who ended up in WR2(ish) territory when they were pegged for way worse at the start of the season. We have a mix of a few rookies, a few guys breaking out, and some who were written off but clawed their way back in 2024.
Tight End
Player | FP/G | TE Finish | ADP | Difference |
---|---|---|---|---|
Brock Bowers | 12.2 | TE2 | TE11 | -9 |
Jonnu Smith | 10.5 | TE6 | TE21 | -15 |
Zach Ertz | 8.5 | TE10 | TE26 | -16 |
Tucker Kraft | 8.1 | TE12 | TE37 | -25 |
Cade Otton | 7.9 | TE14 | TE25 | -11 |
TE was a roller coaster this season but there were some positives. A few young guns stepped up while several old names made their way back to relevancy.
All rankings at 4for4.com go through the postseason along with all DFS and betting content. Be sure to stop by and check it all out!