DFS Values and Contrarian Plays

The Deep Dive Fantasy Newsletter is now coming to your inbox seven days a week throughout the NFL season! In this Saturday edition, we’ll cover the top DFS values and contrarian plays for Week 4, and of course the happenings over at 4for4.

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Using 4for4’s powerful DFS Value Reports, I’ll highlight the top DFS value plays at each position.

Week 4 Value Plays

QB Anthony Richardson ($7,600 FD/$6,700 DK) 🐴

In less than two games, Richardson has accrued 75 yards and three touchdowns on the ground, and in his only complete game, the rookie threw 37 times. Priced as the QB7 on both sites, Richardson projects as the QB3 on the slate and is the top value at his position on FanDuel.

RB Kyren Williams ($7,600 FD/$6,000 DK) 🐏

Although Kyren Williams’ salary has risen, he still isn’t priced like the only player to see over 90% of his team’s backfield touches over the last two weeks. Williams' efficiency could prove to be a problem at some point, but with his volume, he has one of the safest floors at his position.

WR Keenan Allen ($9,500 FD/$7,900 DK)⚡

While Keenan Allen is priced among the elite on FanDuel, He is still available at a notable discount on DraftKings. Even with Mike Williams, Allen has drawn 33% of the Chargers targets on the season and that number exploded to 42% in the game Williams was injured. Allen is the clear number one in LA and a candidate to lead the league in targets this week.

TE George Kittle ($6,300 FD/$5,100 DK) ⛏

Deebo Samuel is trending towards not playing which would mean a continued huge workload for George Kittle. Going into Week 3, only two tight ends had a higher target share than Kittle (20.9%) and that rate jumped to 27% with Brandon Aiyuk out last week. Arizona hasn’t given up a ton of points to tight ends yet but they have allowed the most schedule-adjusted points to quarterbacks.

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Week 4 Contrarian Plays

Every week, 4for4 produces some of the most accurate DFS ownership projections in the industry. Using this ownership as a guide can point us to the best contrarian options to use in GPPs on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

QB Tua Tagovailoa ($8,000 FD/$7,400 DK) 🐬

Despite this game having the highest total on the main slate (53.5), players on both sides should be relatively unowned besides Tyreek Hill. This is due to the fact that both quarterbacks and number one wide receivers are so expensive. Pairing Tua with both Hill and Jaylen Waddle will be especially contrarian since Waddle is also expected to draw single-digit ownership

RB Josh Jacobs ($8,200 FD/$7,100 DK) ☠

Both primary pass-catchers in this game should be quite popular but both run offenses have been insanely inefficient. Still, few backs in the league command the kind of touch share that Jacobs does and the Raiders could lean on him even more than usual if Jimmy Garoppolo is out.

WR A.J. Brown ($7,700 FD/$7,700 DK) 🦅

Almost all of the elite wide receivers on the main slate are in relatively good spots so A.J. Brown could get lost in the shuffle and come in at single-digit ownership. Brown has yet to score this year, making him a top player in this week’s Breakout Receiver Model against a Washington defense that just got torched by the Bills.

TE T.J. Hockenson ($7,200 FD/$6,500 DK) 💜💛

The Vikings have one of the highest team totals on the slate (25.5) but only Justin Jefferson and Alexander Mattison are expected to draw significant ownership. Hockenson is the only tight end to draw at least eight targets in all three games and paying up at tight end will naturally lead to a unique roster construction.

Here are some of the latest DFS articles and tools on 4for4.com. There’s always something new so be sure to keep dropping by.

Week 4 Cash Game and GPP Strategy

Week 4 DFS Value Reports

DFS Ownership Projections

DFS Leverage Scores

The DFS MVP Podcast Watch | Listen

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