šŸ’Œ Your Fantasy Football Questions Answered

Survivor Picks, Betting and More

The Deep Dive Fantasy Newsletter is now coming to your inbox seven days a week throughout the NFL season! In this Friday edition, Iā€™ll dive into the mailbag, get Connor Allenā€™s bet of the week, give out some survivor pool picks, and of course the happenings over at 4for4.

*Every Friday will feature a mailbag segment so if you have any questions you want answered, please send them to [email protected] by Thursday afternoon at 3:00 PM ET. Thanks!

Q: Which of the rookie WRs (aside from Flowers) takes the biggest step in Week 2? - Paul 

I would say Puka Nacua but heā€™s already taken a few steps so I will go with Jayden Reed. With Christian Watson presumably out again and Romeo Doubs still nursing a hamstring issue, Reed is in a great spot to produce against the Atlanta defense this week.

Q: Who is a player that fits all three of these:

A) looked really good on limited touches.

B) has a pathway to more touches

C) isnā€™t listed as a waiver suggestion for week 2 on 4for4. - IggyFenton

The first name that comes to mind is Pittsburgh WR Calvin Austin. He saw six targets last week and caught all of them, and with Diontae Johnson doubtful with a hamstring injury, Austin could be the beneficiary of even more volume in Week 2. Most managers grabbed Allen Robinson off the waiver wire, but Austin could be the sneaky start on Monday night.

Q: I'm in a half-PPR league, and I thought I had it figured out by going with Tee Higgins over Tyler Lockett in the Flex. Turns out both options were wrong, and now I'm worried about putting WRs in my Flex spot. Should I start looking for RBs so I can get guaranteed points? - Quaid R.

Thereā€™s no need to panic after just one week on either of those two WRs. Higginsā€™ underperformance was likely a bit of rust for the whole offense after Joe Burrow missed all of the preseason with a quad injury. There are better days ahead for Lockett too after he was sidelined for some of Week 1ā€™s game while being evaluated for a concussion. The SEA/DET game has shootout vibes and Higgins should be fine this week, too.

Q: Concerned Garrett Wilson owner here with Zach Wilson under center. Are you selling or should I sit tight and bet on the talent? If so, what range of player would you try to trade for? -ewoltan

You certainly are justified in your concern as weā€™ve taken a ride on the Zach Wilson train before. I would look to move Wilson if you can and get an elite RB like Josh Jacobs or Saquon Barkley.

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Every Friday 4for4ā€™s Connor Allen will drop a bet he likes heading into the weekendā€™s games.

Bet: Zach Wilson under 178.5 passing yards (-115 DK/MGM/Barstool/CZRS, 174.5 at FD, 175.5 B365 playable to 170.5)

The number is low. I get it. Yet he has gone under this number in more than half of his career games played. We also now have Zach Wilson paired with arguably the worst OC in the league in Nathaniel Hackett against a Cowboys defense that we projected to be elite yet found a way to exceed expectations in Week 1. On top of this, Zach Wilson was getting minimal reps with the starters all offseason and they now have to scramble to prepare for one of the best defenses in the NFL.

I anticipate the Jets going extremely run-heavy here with Breece Hall and Dalvin Cook and even if they fall behind, they know they can't just let Wilson sit back and chuck it because he is so turnover-prone. On top of a stout Cowboys defense, I expect this game to be a snooze fest. The Jets' defense is awesome and should keep the game close enough so that there isn't immense negative game script. Even if there is, I could see them still not letting Wilson sling it.

Risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit

Getting eliminated from a survivor pool in Week 2 isnā€™t ideal, but itā€™s always a real possibility. Thanks to our friends at PoolGenius, I can easily use the ā€œholy trinityā€ of analysis to make educated selections each week.

The Holy Trinity Explained:

  • Win odds (how likely a team is to win, especially compared to other options)

  • Pick popularity (the percentage of opponents you expect to pick that team)

  • Future value (how useful that team should be as a future week pick)

Letā€™s get to this weekā€™s picks:

šŸ¦¬ Buffalo Bills vs. Raiders - (Most Popular)

  • Point Spread: -8.5

  • Win Odds: 78% (1st)

  • Pick Popularity: 28% (1st)

  • Future Value: 6th

 ā­ļø Dallas Cowboys vs. Jets - (Tied for Highest Spread)

  • Point Spread: -8.5

  • Win Odds: 77% (3rd)

  • Popularity: 20% (2nd)

  • Future Value: 2nd

ā›ļø San Francisco 49ers @ Rams - (Biggest Future Value)

  • Point Spread: -7.5

  • Win Odds: 76% (3rd)

  • Popularity: 10% (4th)

  • Future Value: 1st

āšœļø New Orleans Saints @ Panthers - (Low Popularity w/ Decent Odds)

  • Point Spread: -3

  • Win Odds: 61% (10th)

  • Popularity: 3% (7th)

  • Future Value: 17th

Here are some of the latest articles to post on 4for4.com. Thereā€™s always something new so be sure to keep dropping by.

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