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This week is an important one for many hoping to clinch a playoff spot. Weāve reached Hump Day of Week 14 so letās get to it. Todayās newsletter goes over some key injuries from last week, favorable matchups, and of course, the happenings at 4for4.
It was a rough weekend for injuries so hereās an update on where they all stand heading into the latter part of Week 14.
Jags WR Christian Kirk - After leaving MNF early with a core muscle injury, HC Doug Pederson says the wideout will āmiss some timeā as it will likely require surgery. Related Player: Parker Washington
Jags QB Trevor Lawrence - It appears Lawrenceās ankle injury isnāt season-ending so monitor his progress moving forward through the fantasy postseason. Related Player: CJ Beathard
Pats RB Rhamondre Stevenson - Itās a high ankle sprain for Stevenson and heāll miss āa few weeksā. The NE RB is likely droppable due to their lack of playoff contention. Related Players: Ezekiel Elliott, Ty Montgomery, JaMycal Hasty
Rams WR Puka Nacua - Despite an AC sprain, Nacua appears to be on track to play in Week 14 but itās something to monitor.
Packers WR Christian Watson - Itās unclear how severe Watsonās hamstring injury is compared to his prior issue and itās something to monitor as the week progresses. Related Players: Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed
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Schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed, or aFPA, is 4for4ās answer to biased statistics. By removing bias, we can level the playing field and compare matchups in an "apples-to-apples" manner. This paints a more accurate picture for fantasy owners. By Week 4, we have a pretty good sample size to work from, but the data gets even more trustworthy as the season wears on. Once we hit Week 12, we'll start using rolling 10-week data so the numbers stay relevant.
Quarterbacks
šŖŗ Lamar Jackson vs. Rams
After a week of rest, Jackson will face an LA defensive unit that sits 28th in QB aFPA. He had been putting fantasy points on the board mostly as a rusher prior to the Ravensā bye with just one multi-touchdown game in his last five, but this is a good week to bounce back.
š“ Russell Wilson @Chargers
Heās the QB13 over the last four weeks and Wilson gets a soft opponent this week to keep it going. The Chargers rank 23rd in QB aFPA, yielding 17.7 fantasy points per game in 2023.
Running Backs
š Joe Mixon vs. Colts
Last week Mixon racked up 68 yards and two touchdowns on the ground with another 49 yards on six receptions. He should be heavily involved again this week to support fill-in QB Jake Browning and get a favorable matchup against the Colts as a bonus.
ā Isiah Pacheco vs. Bills
The KC rusher is fifth among RBs in touches per game since Week 10 (20.3) which has translated to 17.6 half-PPR points as the RB4 in that timeframe. Pacheco should post another solid number this week at home against Buffalo, as the Bills rank 26th in RB aFPA.
Wide Receivers
š§² Michael Pittman @ Bengals
Pittman has eight or more receptions in each of his last five contests and will face a Cincy defense that ranks 24th in WR aFPA in Week 14. His floor is pretty safe at this point and the favorable matchup is an added bonus.
š¤ CeeDee Lamb vs. Eagles
Heās a must-start every contest and those who have Lamb on their rosters have even more reason to be stoked this week. Dallas gets the Eagles at home in an NFC East battle with Philly sitting dead-last in WR aFPA heading into the tilt.
Tight Ends
š¦ Sam LaPorta @ Bears
Heās coming off a career-high in receptions (9) and receiving yards (140) and gets a cushy opponent to keep it rolling in Week 14. Chicago is allowing 11.1 in TE aFPA per week and the rookie is ranked as 4for4ās TE3 in half-PPR scoring heading into this matchup.
šŖŗ Isaiah Likely vs. Rams
With a full bye week to integrate into the team as Mark Andrewsā replacement, Likely should have a solid outing at home against the Rams. LA is yielding the most aFPA to opposing TEs this season through 13 weeks.
Honorable Mentions
*number in parenthesis is aFPA rank
Dak Prescott vs. Eagles (31st)
Justin Fields vs. Lions (30th)
Alvin Kamara vs. Panthers (27th)
Devin Singletary @ Jets (29th)
Tyreek Hill vs. Titans (27th)
DeAndre Hopkins @ Dolphins (26th)
DJ Moore vs. Lions @ Seahawks (30th)
Travis Kelce vs. Bills (26th)
Dallas Goedert @ Cowboys (28th) *if he plays
Here are some of the latest articles to post on 4for4.com. Thereās always something new so be sure to keep dropping by.