🧳 QBs on the Move

also dynasty and a hype video

In today’s newsletter, I dive into QB movement from 2024 to now, plus we get some dynasty love from DLF.

The QB position isn’t one with a ton of variance from year to year, but we do have several signal callers who have risen or fallen in both ADP and ranks from August of 2024. Here are the QBs with the biggest changes, and a look at why they’ve moved.

QB Risers 📈

Jayden Daniels, WAS (2024 ADP:QB12)

4for4 Rank: QB2, Current ADP: QB3 Daniels finished as QB6 in fantasy points per game in his rookie year, and earned Offensive Rookie of the Year honors courtesy of 3,568 passing yards and 25 touchdowns, with an additional 891 rushing yards and six TD runs. With even more offensive weapons in Deebo Samuel and LT Laremy Tunsil, Daniels has risen 10 positional spots in rank and nine ADP in 2025.

Baker Mayfield, TB (2024 ADP: QB21)

4for4 Rank: QB6, Current ADP: QB7 Coming off a QB19 performance in 2023 in his first season in Tampa Bay, Mayfield’s ADP remained that of a fantasy QB2 heading into last season. What we got were career highs in passing yardage (4,500), touchdown passes (41), and completion percentage (71.4%), along with highs in rushing yards (378) and rushing yards per attempt (6.3). Mayfield produced as the QB4 and is now a top 10 QB in both rank and ADP heading into 2025.

Bo Nix, DEN (2024 ADP: QB23)

4for4 Rank: QB7, Current ADP: QB8 Expectations were tempered for Nix’s rookie campaign on a rebuilding Denver team, and he was drafted as a low-end QB2. He put up a QB10 performance in fantasy points per game and heads into this year with a strong O-line and plenty of weaponry around him.

Justin Fields, NYJ (2024 ADP: QB27)

4for4 Rank: QB10, Current ADP: QB13 It’s been a wild ride for Fields in terms of fantasy draft stock. In his first two seasons in the NFL, he was drafted as the QB17, followed by a QB7 ADP in 2023 and then down to the QB27 last season in Pittsburgh. Now a member of the New York Jets, Fields boasts a borderline fantasy QB1 ADP, as he has arguably the best supporting cast he’s worked with.

QB Fallers 📉

C.J. Stroud, HOU (2024 ADP: QB5)

4for4 Rank: QB18, Current ADP: QB18 Stroud’s production dipped dramatically in 2024 after a solid rookie campaign, and he ended as the QB18 in total fantasy points. The Texans’ porous O-line was certainly a factor, and they did him no favors by dealing LT Laremy Tunsil; however, Cam Robinson may be a decent replacement.

Anthony Richardson, IND (2024 ADP: QB6)

4for4 Rank: QB28, Current ADP: QB28 This 22-spot fall is no surprise to most, but Richardson struggled mightily with both injury and performance in his sophomore season and is now in a QB competition with ex-Giant Daniel Jones for the starting gig in Indy.

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Welcome to DLF Roundup. Each week, Ryan McDowell brings you a quick look at some of the dynasty happenings taking place over at Dynasty League Football.

At DLF, we continue to try to answer your dynasty questions in as many ways as possible. Perhaps the easiest way we do that is through our weekly Dynasty Mailbag, where longtime DLF writer Eric Hardter covers a variety of weekly topics. 

In the latest edition of the Mailbag, Eric focuses on big-play Lions receiver Jameson Williams, as a reader attempts to pull off a trade. Here’s a sample of Eric’s advice…

Which side do you prefer for an RB-poor team in a 14-team PPR league – Jameson Williams, Quinshon Judkins, and a 2026 second-round pick, or Marvin Harrison Jr and Joe Mixon?

At first glance, this seems about right to me. Ultimately, we are looking at a deal that represents a collection of imperfect and unproven assets. As such, beauty is in the eye of the beholder as it relates to every entry in the anticipated trade, which has the potential to mitigate the difference in total value of 76.2, and even swing it in the opposite direction, pending the explicit subjectivity of the participating trade partners. Given this, it seems reasonable to go through each proposed piece.

Starting with Harrison, it’s unsurprising to me that he’s easily the highest-valued individual asset. And while it’s true that he’s actually lost value since entering the league as the fourth overall draft pick in 2023, he didn’t exactly fall flat in year one. A 62-885-8 line is hardly the output of fantasy heavyweights, but Harrison notably led the Cardinals in touchdowns, yards per catch, and big plays, and he was second in targets, receptions, and yards.

Unfortunately, the passing game simply wasn’t prolific, finishing in the back half of the league in attempts, yards, and touchdowns – given the fact that the offense was also supporting star tight end Trey McBride, the slimmer pickings were understandable. But his efficiency could still be projectable moving forward. Using my AIR metric evaluation (fraction of team’s PPR receiving points/fraction of team’s targets), Harrison checked in with a fine value of 1.10 (an average value would be 1.00). Here again, this wasn’t an elite output, but it asserts that with additional volume, Harrison could yield even stronger dividends.

Still, I can appreciate some lingering disappointment given the expectations, and understand why Harrison’s rookie efforts might be viewed as bust-adjacent. But if you weren’t a big fan of his 198.5 PPR points, you know who else you probably didn’t like? Jameson Williams.

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It only took a little over a month from the NFL Draft to get our first Travis Hunter dual-player hype piece, and it’s in the form of a video. Check out Hunter doing what he does as a hybrid WR/CB.

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