Deep Dive Fantasy
Posts
🥥 Week 13 Survivor Picks

🥥 Week 13 Survivor Picks

Mailbag and Bet of the Week

Jen of Deep Dive Fantasy
December 01, 2023

Together with GameBlazers: The Next Generation of Fantasy Sports

Last night’s game was a pleasant shock to most, so hopefully the rest of Week 13 will deliver. Today I’m opening the mailbag, getting Connor Allen’s bet of the week, giving out some survivor pool picks, and of course the happenings over at 4for4.

Q: Would you hold on to the Ravens D through their bye or drop and pickup a team with a better playoff schedule(15-17)? The Ravens have the Rams, @Jax, @SF, and Mia after their bye. The D's available with good playoff schedules are the Colts, Texans, Rams. Would you prefer any of these over the Ravens? -SteelDan

A: Baltimore’s schedule is not the best for the fantasy playoffs, however, they are still a superior defense. I would bank on their talent in those contests over a mediocre unit. Of those three postseason games, the 49ers are the toughest opponent since they rank first in DST aFPA, yielding just 3.8 fantasy points per game, but the Jaguars and Dolphins sit 14th and 25th in that metric, allowing 7.0 and 9.2 points respectively. If you can hold them through the bye and grab another DST for Week 16 that could work, or just hope they can contain the 49ers and play them.

If you can’t afford to keep the Ravens, the Colts would be my preference out of the three options you mentioned above.

Q: Can I trust Khalil Shakir moving forward, I picked him up this week after a few solid games. - D. Heff

A: All Bills WRs come with some risk since that offense boasts a plethora of weapons, but Shakir has been trending in the right direction. He’s posted at least 45 receiving yards in four of his last five contests and has been on the field for 71% or more of the snaps since Week 9. Buffalo has shootout potential in their next three contests (KC, DAL, LAC) so Shakir could pop while defenders focus more on Stefon Diggs and Dalton Kincaid.

Q: Do you play defense and pickup players your opponent may need for the playoffs? -@Gby395

At this point in the season, no, unless there’s a glaringly obvious player someone dropped sitting on the waiver wire that I don’t necessarily need. For now, I want the best squad possible to maximize points and either secure a playoff spot or possibly get a bye. Once the postseason gets underway, I will play a little defense if I see a hole or two in my opponent’s roster and can afford the pickup.

Unlock Your FREE GameBlazers Starter Pack Now!

GameBlazers presents the ultimate Fantasy Football experience!

Discover a groundbreaking fusion of classic Daily Fantasy Football with the thrill of player/roster ownership akin to Dynasty or a Video Game Franchise.

Craft your own franchise and vie for FREE cash prizes. Don't miss out – seize this opportunity to claim your free Starter Pack and dive into exhilarating Contests today. Join the GameBlazers revolution!

Use code: 4for4Classic for a $250 deposit bonus to DOMINATE your competition!

Every Friday 4for4’s Connor Allen will drop a bet he likes heading into the weekend’s games.

Brandon Aiyuk over 61.5 receiving yards (-115 at DK, MGM, CZRS, 62.5 at FD fine too)

This is an absolute smash spot for Aiyuk. The Eagles' secondary has routinely been whipped by outside wideouts where Aiyuk lines up the majority of the time, allowing the third-most receptions per game to outside wideouts (9.6). The Eagles have allowed 15 wideouts to clear 61 receiving yards already this season and 7 to clear 90 yards! They are 30th in explosive pass rate allowed and play a good bit of man defense. Rich Hribar pulled a great note: "Philadelphia is playing man coverage 32.0% of passing snaps, seventh in the league. Against man coverage, Aiyuk has been targeted on a team-high 29.9% of his routes while averaging 4.16 yards per route run!" There is truly nuclear potential here for Aiyuk, especially if we get a bit more passing volume than the 49ers normally get. I thought this would drop in the high-60's so getting 61 is really strong.

Risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit on over 61.5 receiving yards

You’ve made it this far so getting eliminated from a survivor pool now isn’t ideal. Thanks to our friends at PoolGenius, I can easily use the “holy trinity” of analysis to make educated selections for Week 13.

The Holy Trinity Explained: