📸 NFL Playoff Picture

And the best fantasy plays for Week 15

We’re halfway through the work week folks, with NFL action just a day away. In today’s newsletter, I give the current NFL post-season scenario, the best matchups for Week 15, and of course the happenings over at 4for4.

Clinched a Playoff Spot

AFC

  • Chiefs (12-1,1st in AFC West)

  • Bills (10-3, 1st in AFC East)

NFC

  • Lions (12-1, 1st in NFC North)

  • Eagles (11-2, 1st in NFC East)

In the Hunt

AFC

  • Steelers (10-3, 1st in AFC North)

  • Texans (8-5, 1st in AFC South

  • Ravens (8-5, 2nd in AFC North)

  • Broncos (8-5, 3rd in AFC West)

  • Chargers (8-5, 2nd in AFC West)

NFC

  • Seahawks (8-5, 1st in NFC West)

  • Buccaneers (7-6, 1st in NFC South)

  • Vikings (11-2, 2nd in NFC North)

  • Packers (9-4, 3rd in NFC North)

  • Commanders (8-5, 2nd in NFC East)

On the Bubble

AFC

  • Colts (6-7, 2nd in AFC South)

  • Dolphins (6-7, 2nd in AFC East)

  • Bengals (5-8, 3rd in AFC North)

NFC

  • Rams (7-6, 2nd in NFC West)

  • Falcons (6-7, 2nd in NFC South)

  • Cardinals (6-7, 3rd in NFC West)

  • 49ers (6-7, 4th in NFC West)

  • Saints (5-8, 3rd in NFC South)

  • Cowboys (5-8, 3rd in NFC East)

  • Bears (4-9, 4th in NFC North)

  • Panthers (3-10, 4th in NFC South)

Eliminated

Browns, Jaguars, Jets, Patriots, Titans, Raiders, Giants

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Schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed, or aFPA, is 4for4’s answer to biased statistics. By removing bias, we can level the playing field and compare matchups in an "apples-to-apples" manner. This paints a more accurate picture for fantasy owners. By Week 4, we have a pretty good sample size to work from, but the data gets even more trustworthy as the season wears on. Once we hit Week 12, we'll start using rolling 10-week data so the numbers stay relevant.

*number in parenthesis is current aFPA rank

Quarterbacks

⚡️ Justin Herbert vs. Buccaneers (32nd)

🪺 Kyler Murray vs. Patriots (25th)

✈️ Aaron Rodgers @ Jaguars (28th)

🐈‍⬛ Bryce Young vs. Cowboys (29th)

Running Backs

🪺 James Conner vs. Patriots (26th)

🤠 Rico Dowdle vs. Panthers (31st)

🦁 David Montgomery vs. Bills (23rd)

🪖 Brian Robinson @ Saints (32nd)

Wide Receivers

🐬 Tyreek Hill @ Texans (29th)

🐶 Jerry Jeudy vs. Chiefs (24th)

⚒️ Jauan Jennings vs. Rams (27th)

⚡️ Ladd McConkey vs. Buccaneers (31st)

🛡️ Calvin RIdley Pickens vs. Bengals (28th)

Tight Ends

✈️ Tyler Conklin @ Jaguars (31st)

↠ Travis Kelce @ Browns (25th)

⚡️ Stone Smartt vs Buccaneers (28th)

⚜️ Juwan Johnson vs. Commanders (26th)

Here are some of the latest articles to post on 4for4.com. There’s always something new so be sure to keep dropping by.